Аннотация.

В данной работе рассматривается современное состояние и факторы, влияющие на показатели распространения различных технологий широкополосного доступа в интернет в развитых и развивающихся странах. Анализируются подходы к моделированию процессов диффузии широкополосного доступа в интернет. Оценивается влияние социо-экономических факторов на скорость диффузии. На основе панельных данных по 34 странам OECD за 2000-2015 гг. исследуются параметры модели диффузии конкурирующих технологий широкополосного доступа в интернет для различных групп стран.

Ключевые слова:

диффузия технологий, широкополосный доступ в интернет, конкуренция технологий, технологии фиксированного доступа в интернет, технологии мобильного доступа в интернет.

Стр. 47-59.

Полная версия статьи в формате pdf. 

M. G. Dubinina

"Modeling of the broadband diffusion"

Abstract. This paper is examined the current states and factors affecting diffusion of different broadband technologies in developed and developing countries and analyzed the approaches to modeling of broadband diffusion, the socio-economic factors that influence the diffusion of fixed and mobile broadband. This paper studies and modeling substitution between fixed and mobile broadband access in OECD countries using cross-section panel data in 2000–2015 and also estimates the model parameters for different groups of countries.

Keywords: diffusion of technology , broadband access, technology competition, fixed broadband; mobile broadband.

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