Abstract.

In the management of projects of industrial enterprises there is uncertainty and risk. The study examines the risk of equipment failure. To make decisions in the project taking into account the risk of equipment failure, the model "situation - control strategy - action" is proposed. The search for a management strategy is proposed to be formed according to a fuzzy situation network. The state of the equipment in the project taking into account the risk of failure is represented in the form of a number of situations. Three classes of typical fuzzy situations are distinguished: typical fuzzy situations that characterize the risk of equipment failure to increase the project implementation time, typical fuzzy situations that characterize the risk of equipment failure to increase the project budget, typical fuzzy situations characterizing the risk of equipment failure in deteriorating product quality. The input information contained in the factorial level is described. The article presents a fragment of the level hierarchical fuzzy situation network for the formation of control decisions.

Keywords:

risk of equipment failure, fuzzy situation network, management strategy, management decisions

pp. 87-93

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