Mathematical models of socio-economic processes
М. Г. Дубинина "Моделирование динамики взаимосвязи макроэкономических показателей и показателей распространения ИТ в развитых и развивающихся странах"
Modeling of activity characteristics of sectoral and regional subsystems
Dynamic systems
Mathematical problems of dynamics of inhomogeneous systems
Information technology in system analysis
Recognition of images
Methods of decision making
М. Г. Дубинина "Моделирование динамики взаимосвязи макроэкономических показателей и показателей распространения ИТ в развитых и развивающихся странах"


Проводится анализ влияния вложений в ИКТ на экономику разных стран. Исследуются тенденции мировой торговли ИКТ-товарами и услугами. Разработаны эконометрические модели взаимосвязи макроэкономических показателей и показателей распространения ИКТ в ведущих развитых и развивающихся странах. Исследуются тенденции в развитии ИКТ-технологий, строятся прогнозы диффузии Интернета и широкополосного доступа к Интернету по группам стран.

Ключевые слова:

информационно-коммуникационные технологии, диффузия, Интернет, инвестиции.

Стр. 24-37.

M. G. Dubinina

"Modeling the dynamics  of the relationship of macroeconomic  indicators and indicators of IT penetration in developed and developing countries"

Abstract.  The impact  of investments  in ICT  on the economy  of various  countries  is  analyzed.  The trends in world trade of ICT goods  and services  are investigated. Econometric  models  of the relationship  between macroeconomic indicators and indicators of ICT penetration in the major developed and developing countries are constructed. The trends in the development of ICT technologies are studied, diffusion of the Internet and broadband Internet access for groups of countries are forecasted.

Keywords: information and communication technology, hardware, software, telecommunication equipment, export, investments, diffusion, internet, value added, world trade, telecommunication services.

Полная версия статьи в формате pdf.


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