Abstract.

Economico-statistical analysis of indicators of high-performance supercomputers is carried out. Models of diffusion of high-performance supercomputers, of dynamics of their structure and of influence of key factors on their performance are proposed. Approaches to initial assessment of possibility and terms of creating exaflops supercomputers with the help of built models based on analysis of current trends in energy efficiency and possible progress in microelectronics are proposed.

Keywords:

supercomputers, microprocessors, dynamics, productivity, energy efficiency.

PP. 64-74.

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